Service Sector Increases at Slowest Pace in 2 Years

Service Sector Increases at Slowest Pace in 2 Years

By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Published: July 5, 2012
WASHINGTON (AP) — The service sector in June grew at the slowest pace in nearly two and a half years, more evidence that the economy has weakened.
But those same companies increased hiring last month, supporting other data that shows job growth may have picked up last month.

The Institute for Supply Management said Thursday that its index of nonmanufacturing activity fell to 52.1 last month, from a May reading of 53.7.

The reading was the lowest since January 2010. Still, any reading above 50 indicates expansion. The sector has grown now for 30 straight months.

Service companies employ about 90 percent of the economy. They include retail, construction, financial services, health care and hotel businesses, among others. The service sector includes low-paying positions in retailing and restaurants but also covers higher-paying jobs in professions like information
technology, accounting and financial services.

The industry has weakened at a time when the broader economy has lost vigor. Employers in the United States have scaled back on hiring. Paychecks are barely keeping pace with inflation, making consumers less confident in the economy. Consumer spending, which drives 70 percent of economic activity, did not increase from April to May.

A separate I.S.M. survey this week said manufacturing shrank in June for the first time in three years.

Still, service companies and factories are hiring. The service sector survey’s employment index rose to 52.3, up from 50.8 in May. And the manufacturing survey’s measure of employment was 56.6, which suggests solid job growth at factories in June.

The government reports on June job growth on Friday. Economists are predicting employers added 90,000 jobs last month, while the unemployment rate stayed at 8.2 percent, according to a survey by FactSet.

But many economists were slightly more optimistic Thursday after seeing the I.S.M. service sector survey and two other encouraging reports on layoffs and hiring.

Weekly unemployment benefit applications dropped by 14,000 to a seasonally adjusted 374,000, the Labor Department said Thursday. That’s the fewest since the week of May 19.

Separately, the payroll company ADP said businesses added 176,000 jobs last month. That is better than the revised total of 136,000 jobs it reported for May.

If sustained, that would be enough to lower the unemployment rate. But the ADP survey has often deviated sharply from the government report, so economists approached the June results with some caution.

In May, the Labor Department said employers added 69,000 jobs, the fewest in a year and nearly half of ADP’s estimate. The ADP report covers hiring only in the private sector and excludes government job growth.

One hopeful sign for the economy is that gasoline prices have fallen more than 60 cents a gallon, on average, since peaking in early April. Lower gas prices give consumers more money to spend elsewhere, such as on meals at restaurants, vacations and other services that drive growth.